Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Predictions for Friday, September 26, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/26/2025, 12:05 AM ET

The Minnesota Lynx visit the Phoenix Mercury on Friday at PHX Arena for Game 3 of their semifinal best-of-five series. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET on ESPN2. Phoenix won Game 2, 89–83 in overtime, and the series is tied 1–1. Build your bankroll with our WNBA free picks.

Minnesota Lynx Preview

Minnesota controlled Game 1 but squandered a big second-half lead in Game 2. Napheesa Collier has been the main scorer in the playoffs, averaging 21.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. Kayla McBride has added 19.3 points per game and has shot well from outside, making almost half of her threes. The pair gives the Lynx a strong inside-outside attack.

Courtney Williams is averaging 15.0 points and 6.8 assists, while also leading the defense with 3.0 steals per game. Alanna Smith has been active around the rim with 5.5 rebounds and 1.8 blocks. The Lynx need to cut down turnovers and keep the ball moving to get good shots for McBride and Collier.

Phoenix Mercury Preview

Phoenix came back in Game 2 with a big overtime win. Alyssa Thomas has led the way with 17.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 9.2 assists per game, showing she can do a little of everything. Satou Sabally has been just as important, scoring 16.2 points and grabbing 8.4 rebounds per game.

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Kahleah Copper adds another scoring option at 14.2 points per game, while Sami Whitcomb has helped from three-point territory with 9.2 points per game. The Mercury will look to keep the ball in Thomas’ hands, push when they can, and get Sabally and Copper attacking the rim to open up space for shooters.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

Minnesota has more scoring balance and better control inside with Collier. Phoenix is dangerous with Thomas running the show, but if the Lynx hit open shots and do not turn the ball over, Minnesota will take back the series lead. Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx win and cover ATS 81–73