New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/28/2026, 12:30 AM ET

The New York Liberty and Golden State Valkyries meet at Chase Center in San Francisco, California, on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with national television coverage on ESPN and Disney+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives New York a 54.7 percent chance to win, while Golden State sits at 45.3 percent. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

New York Tries to Finish the Road Trip Strong

The Liberty enter Sunday’s matchup with a 12-7 overall record and a 6-3 record on the road. New York recently lost to Seattle, recently defeated Las Vegas, recently lost to Los Angeles, recently lost to Washington, and recently edged Chicago. That leaves the Liberty with two victories in their last five games as they look to bounce back from their most recent defeat.

New York is averaging 88.9 points per game while allowing 83.9 points per contest. The Liberty are shooting 46 percent from the field while averaging 35.1 rebounds, 21.0 assists, 4.1 blocks, and 6.1 steals per game. Those numbers highlight a balanced team that has been productive offensively while remaining solid on the defensive end.

The biggest strength for New York is its offensive efficiency. The Liberty score nearly 89 points per game while also shooting 46 percent from the field. They also hold advantages over Golden State in rebounds and assists, giving them a balanced statistical profile entering this matchup.

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Golden State Looks to Stay Hot at Home

Golden State comes into this contest with a 12-7 overall record and an impressive 9-3 home record. The Valkyries recently defeated Atlanta twice, recently lost to Las Vegas, recently lost to Minnesota, and recently defeated Dallas. That gives Golden State three wins in its last five games and strong momentum on its home floor.

The Valkyries are averaging 83.1 points per game while allowing just 78.4 points per contest. They are shooting 41 percent from the field while averaging 33.7 rebounds, 18.2 assists, 4.4 blocks, and 6.8 steals per game. While Golden State scores fewer points than New York, it has allowed the fewest points in this matchup.

Golden State’s greatest strength is its defense. The Valkyries surrender only 78.4 points per game, which is substantially lower than New York’s 83.9. They also hold slight advantages in blocks and steals, making defense the foundation of their success, especially with a 9-3 home record.

New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction

New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries Pick

Pick: New York Liberty Moneyline

New York is my pick because the Liberty own the slight edge in the matchup predictor while producing stronger offensive numbers. They average more points per game, shoot a higher percentage from the field, and also lead in rebounds and assists. Golden State’s defense has been excellent, but New York’s more complete offensive profile gives the Liberty the edge in what should be a competitive matchup.

New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries Total Pick

Take the under if the total is set at 164.5.

I would lean under 164.5 because Golden State allows only 78.4 points per game, the best defensive figure between these two teams. While New York averages 88.9 points, the Valkyries have consistently limited opponents, and both clubs have shown the ability to defend well enough to keep this matchup from becoming a high-scoring shootout.

Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty 84 – Golden State Valkyries 80