Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Predictions for Thursday, September 18, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/18/2025, 12:00 AM ET

The Seattle Storm visit the Las Vegas Aces on Thursday at Michelob ULTRA Arena. 9:30 PM ET on ESPN2. This is the deciding Game 3 of their first-round best-of-three series. The matchup is tied at 1–1, and the winner will advance to the semifinals while the loser’s season ends. Seattle had a three-point win at home in Game 2 on Wednesday after Las Vegas dominated the opener. That sets the stage for a decisive game in Las Vegas with both teams under pressure to deliver. Get ready for all the WNBA playoff action with our free WNBA Picks.

Seattle Storm Preview

The Storm evened the series with an 86–83 home win behind Skylar Diggins, who is averaging 19 points and 4.5 assists in the postseason. Nneka Ogwumike has added 17.5 points and 9 rebounds per game, keeping the frontcourt productive against Las Vegas’ size.

Dominique Malonga has been a strong rebounder with 10.5 per game, and Ezi Magbegor adds rim protection at 1.5 blocks. Seattle scores 82.1 points per game and hands out 21.3 assists, but the defense has allowed 92.5 points per game. To compete on the road, the Storm need to limit turnovers and slow the Aces’ transition game. Katie Lou Samuelson remains out, but the Storm continue to play well, led by Diggins’ scoring and Ogwumike’s inside play.

Las Vegas Aces Preview

The Aces lost Game 2 on the road but had won 17 straight before that. They averaged 83.6 points per game and allowed 81.5 during the regular season. A’ja Wilson has been the star of the series, averaging 25 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, while Jackie Young has scored 21.5 per game on strong perimeter shooting. Chelsea Gray controls the offense with 7.5 assists per game.

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The Aces thrive on pace and rebounding, where their roster depth gives them an edge. With no players on the injury list, they bring a full team into the deciding game. If Wilson stays active in the paint and the Aces control second-looks by grabbing offensive rebounds and limiting Seattle to one look, they should win and move on to the next round.

Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction

The Las Vegas Aces will use its strong offense and tough work on the glass to win the series 2-1 on Thursday. Las Vegas takes back momentum and closes the series at home. Seattle’s backcourt will keep it close for stretches, but the Aces’ transition, scoring, and size will close it out. Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces win and cover ATS 89-75.