Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/17/2026, 12:20 AM ET

The Toronto Tempo and Los Angeles Sparks will square off on Sunday, May 17, 2026, at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California, with tipoff scheduled for 7:00 PM. The matchup will be available on WNBA League Pass. Los Angeles enters the game as an 8.5-point favorite with the Sparks sitting at -310 on the moneyline, while Toronto comes in at +250. The total for the game is set at 174.5 points. These two teams are already familiar with one another after meeting recently in a high-scoring contest that Los Angeles won 99-95. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Toronto Trying to Bounce Back After Close Defeat

The Toronto Tempo enter this matchup with a 1-2 overall record and an 0-1 road record. Toronto most recently lost to Los Angeles 99-95 in a competitive game after previously defeating Seattle 86-73. Before that, the Tempo suffered close losses against Washington 68-65 and Minnesota 73-66, while also losing 83-78 against Connecticut earlier in the schedule. Toronto has been competitive in several games, but the Tempo have struggled to consistently close out tight contests.

Toronto is averaging 82.0 points per game while allowing 80.0 points per contest. The Tempo are shooting 39% from the field and averaging 32.0 rebounds, 17.7 assists, 3.3 blocks, and 11.3 steals per game. The defensive activity has been one of the more noticeable aspects of Toronto’s early season profile, especially with the strong steals numbers creating extra opportunities in transition.

The key strength for Toronto has been defensive pressure. Averaging 11.3 steals per game is a significant number and shows the Tempo are capable of disrupting offenses and forcing turnovers. Toronto also holds the edge in rebounds compared to Los Angeles. However, the shooting percentage remains a concern at 39%, especially against a Sparks team that has been far more efficient offensively.

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Los Angeles Looking to Build Off Recent Victory

The Los Angeles Sparks come into this contest with a 1-2 overall record and a 1-2 mark at home. Los Angeles recently defeated Toronto 99-95 after previously losing to Indiana 87-78 and Las Vegas 105-78. Earlier in the schedule, the Sparks picked up an 85-75 road victory against Portland and also earned an 89-63 win in another recent matchup. While Los Angeles has had some uneven results early in the season, the offensive breakout against Toronto could provide confidence entering this rematch.

The Sparks are averaging 85.0 points per game while allowing 95.7 points per contest. Los Angeles is shooting 49% from the field and averaging 26.7 rebounds, 16.7 assists, 1.7 blocks, and 8.7 steals per game. The shooting efficiency has clearly been one of the stronger areas for Los Angeles, particularly compared to Toronto’s lower shooting percentage.

The biggest strength for Los Angeles is offensive efficiency. Shooting 49% from the field gives the Sparks a major advantage entering this matchup, especially after putting up 99 points against Toronto in the previous meeting. The weakness remains on the defensive side, where Los Angeles is allowing nearly 96 points per game. That defensive inconsistency has created several high-scoring contests already this season.

Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction

Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks Pick

Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -8.5

Los Angeles already defeated Toronto recently by a score of 99-95, and the Sparks hold a clear edge offensively entering this rematch. Los Angeles is averaging 85.0 points per game while shooting 49% from the field, compared to Toronto’s 82.0 points and 39% shooting. Even though Toronto has been active defensively and has generated a high number of steals, the offensive efficiency of Los Angeles gives the Sparks the stronger overall profile heading into this game.

Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks Total Pick

Pick: Over 174.5

I am leaning toward the over because these teams already combined for 194 points in their previous meeting. Los Angeles has allowed 95.7 points per game this season, while Toronto is allowing 80.0 points per contest. The Sparks have also been involved in several games with high totals, including the recent 99-95 matchup against Toronto and the 105-78 game against Las Vegas. With both teams capable of scoring and Los Angeles continuing to play in fast-paced contests, I like the over here.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 94 – Toronto Tempo 84