Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 4, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 09/04/2025, 12:00 AM ET

Mystics vs Mercury Game Information

The Washington Mystics host the Phoenix Mercury on Thursday night at CareFirst Arena with the tipoff set for 5:30 PM ET on Prime Video. Phoenix enters as a 9.5-point road favorite after extending its winning streak to five games, while Washington looks to snap a seven-game skid. The Mercury sit at 26-14, positioning themselves well in the Western Conference, while the Mystics have dropped to 16-25 and are sliding out of playoff contention. The total is set at 160.5, with Phoenix also heavily favored at -550 on the moneyline. Fast pace, high drama, and our WNBA picks ready to cash.

Mystics Preview

Washington has struggled mightily down the stretch, going 2-8 in the last ten games and dropping seven straight overall. The most recent outing ended in a narrow 81-78 road loss to Los Angeles, a game where late execution once again proved costly. At home, Washington has been average at 10-10, but momentum is clearly working against them.

The Mystics average 77.9 points per game while allowing 81.6, shooting 44.1% from the field. Sonia Citron leads the team with 15.1 points per game on efficient shooting, but the supporting cast has lacked consistency. Injuries to guards Jacy Sheldon and Georgia Amoore have left Washington thin in the backcourt, further limiting the offense.

Mercury Preview

Phoenix is peaking at the right time, winning seven of its last ten, including a recent 85-79 victory over Indiana. The Mercury’s balanced attack and ability to close out tight games have them firmly in control of playoff positioning. Away from home, they are 11-8, showing the ability to travel well.

Subscribe Now

I authorize Picks And Parlays to send me promotional emails

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Picks And Parlays may use third-party services to process my data.

Terms & Conditions

Phoenix averages 83.1 points per game while holding opponents to 79.6, shooting 43.5% as a team. Satou Sabally leads the way with 16.5 points per game and remains a reliable scoring threat. The Mercury’s depth and strong ball movement (20.9 assists per game) have powered recent success. With Kalani Brown sidelined, Phoenix will lean on its perimeter play and defensive activity (7.9 steals per game) to maintain the edge.

Mystics vs Mercury Betting Trends

Washington is 2-5 ATS in the last seven games
The Mystics are 4-8 ATS in the last 12 games played at home against Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in the last five games on the road
The total has finished under in all of Phoenix’s last five games

Mystics vs Mercury Pick

Pick: Phoenix Mercury. Phoenix enters on a five-game winning streak while Washington has dropped seven straight, and the gap in recent form is too wide to ignore. The Mercury are scoring more efficiently, defending better, and have the confidence of recent wins. The Mystics’ thin backcourt and inability to close games make this matchup tough, even at home. Final Score Prediction: Phoenix Mercury 84, Washington Mystics 74.