San José State vs. Utah Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 3, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 11/02/2025, 08:52 PM ET

San José State opens the new season on the road in Salt Lake City, meeting a Utah team eager to turn the page after a turbulent finish last year. The opening tipoff will be at 9:00 PM ET at the Jon M. Huntsman Center, airing on ESPN+. The matchup brings two programs in different phases: San José State rebuilding and Utah beginning a new era under fresh leadership. Utah enters as a heavy favorite according to ESPN Analytics, holding an 89.2 percent win probability. Big board, bigger value — see our winning college basketball predictions.

San Jose State Preview

San José State finished 15-20 last season and 7-13 in Mountain West play, showing flashes of promise but remaining inconsistent. Wins against Air Force and a double-overtime thriller at Fresno State showed offensive potential, yet lopsided losses—like 105-57 against Utah State—highlighted where progress still lags. Coach Tim Miles, now in his fifth year, has gradually pulled the program from the conference cellar into competitiveness. The Spartans have shown they can play fast and score in spurts, but the challenge lies in sustaining intensity on both ends of the floor for 40 minutes. Success depends on depth and turning close games into wins, as losses to teams like San Diego State proved costly last season.

Utah Preview

Utah, meanwhile, enters the 2025–26 campaign searching for identity under new head coach Alex Jensen. The Utes ended last season 16-17 overall and 8-12 in Big 12 play, stumbling late amid a coaching change. Jensen inherits a roster that has undergone major turnover, losing key pieces such as Gabe Madsen, Ezra Ausar, and Lawson Lovering. Utah’s offense averaged 75 points per game last season, but often traded baskets instead of controlling tempo. The focus now shifts to chemistry and defense, which are areas that lagged through their Big 12 debut. Expectations are high, but Jensen’s first season is likely more about establishing a foundation than pushing for contention. With a supportive home crowd and an early-season tune-up spot, Utah aims to showcase its talent in front of its home crowd.

San Jose State vs Utah Prediction and Reasoning

Utah’s deeper talent pool and home-court advantage make this matchup a difficult task for San José State, especially early in the season. The Spartans may compete for stretches, but Utah’s size and renewed emphasis on discipline under Jensen make it an easy win for the Utes. Expect Utah to pull away in the second half once adjustments take hold.

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Final Score Prediction: Utah 81, San José State 54

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Best Picks:

  • Utah -15 (spread) — Utes’ superior depth and home setting favor a convincing win.
  • Under 147.5 — Utah’s revamped system may slow tempo and emphasize control.
  • San José State first-half +8 — The Spartans’ energy and early-season unpredictability could keep it close before halftime.
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